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Fitch Affirms Credito Emiliano at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable

June 20th, 2017 | 11:47 AM financials 209

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(The following statement was released by the rating agency) LONDON/MILAN, June 20 (Fitch) Fitch Ratings has affirmed Credito Emiliano's (Credem) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB' and Viability Rating (VR) at 'bbb'. The Outlook is Stable. A full list of rating actions is at the end of this rating action commentary. Fitch has assigned a 'BBB(dcr)' Derivative Counterparty Rating (DCR) to Credem as part of its roll-out of DCRs to significant derivative counterparties in western Europe and the US as the bank is a swap counterparty to Fitch-rated transactions. DCRs are issuer ratings and express Fitch's view of banks' relative vulnerability to default under derivative contracts with third-party, non-government counterparties. KEY RATING DRIVERS VR, IDRS, SENIOR DEBT AND DCR The IDRs, VR, senior debt rating and DCR of Credem reflect its diversified and stable business model, which has to date resulted in a more resilient profitability and healthier asset quality than its Italian peers. Credem's company profile has helped the bank to generate stable fees and commissions, with income from its wealth management and insurance businesses providing a cushion to protect the bank from the impact of current low interest rates on profitability. Strong underwriting standards and a low risk appetite have also helped to keep loan impairment charges low and stable during a time of high loan impairments in the Italian banking sector and have helped support profitability. Operating costs, however, are high at Credem, both as a proportion of revenues and of assets, and have been affected by the bank's highly centralised loan approval process, investments in IT systems, controls, compliance structures and expansion of its sales network. Credem's resilient profitability has kept internal capital generation sound. We view capitalisation as being in line with the bank's risk profile, with a strong buffer maintained between the bank's 13.7% end-2016 phased-in CET1 capital ratio and minimum regulatory requirements. Fitch believes that maintaining capitalisation higher than minimum requirements is justified at Credem due to unreserved impaired loans moderately weighing on capitalisation (at end-2016 these were equal to about 38% of Fitch Core Capital). Credem's asset quality is healthy, particularly in light of the high level of non-performing loans in Italy. Credem reported a gross impaired loans/ gross loans ratio of about 5.6% at end-2016, and we believe that this has been achieved by strong underwriting standards towards domestic SMEs and by avoiding single-name and industry concentrations. The bank has been able to reduce impaired loans through small amounts of write-offs and sales every year, which, however, has resulted in below-average impairment reserve coverage. Sales have generally been achieved at book value. We view Credem's funding as stable. Funding benefits from a solid core customer deposit base and deposits have benefited recently from inflows from distressed Italian banks. Funding is undiversified and apart from deposits consists largely of covered bonds and funding from the ECB's Targeted Long-term Refinancing Operations (TLTROs). The bank has some outstanding retail bonds but is no longer issuing these. Its liquidity is supported by good access to central bank facilities. The bank's 'F2' Short-Term IDR is the higher of the two possibilities for a 'BBB' Long-Term IDR to reflect the strength of the bank's short-term liquidity. The DCR is at the same level as the Long-Term IDR because in Italy derivative counterparties have no preferential legal status over other senior obligations. SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR The bank's Support Rating and Support Rating Floor reflect Fitch's view that senior creditors cannot rely on receiving full extraordinary support from the sovereign if a bank becomes non-viable. The EU's Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive and the Single Resolution Mechanism for eurozone banks provide a framework for resolving banks that require senior creditors to participate in losses, if necessary, instead of or ahead of a bank receiving sovereign support. SUBORDINATED DEBT AND OTHER HYBRID SECURITIES Credem's subordinated Tier 2 debt is rated one notch below the bank's VR for loss severity to reflect below-average recovery prospects. No notching is applied for incremental non-performance risk because write-down of the notes will only occur once the point of non-viability is reached and there is no coupon flexibility prior to non-viability. RATING SENSITIVITIES VR, IDRS, SENIOR DEBT AND DCR Credem's ratings are primarily sensitive to a material deterioration in asset quality, which could be the result of an unexpected weakening of underwriting standards, or to a further deterioration of the domestic economy. Ratings could also be downgraded if capitalisation falls as a result of strong loan growth or if the bank increases its risk appetite. Given the bank's purely domestic focus, the bank ratings are sensitive to deterioration in the operating environment in Italy and to Italy's sovereign rating. Any upgrade of the ratings would require an upgrade of Italy's sovereign rating. Credem's Short-Term IDR would be downgraded if the bank's liquidity declines or if, for example it is unable to successfully manage the tapering of ECB's bond buying programme and replace central bank funding with market funding. SUPPORT RATING AND SUPPORT RATING FLOOR An upgrade of the SR and upward revision of the SRF would be contingent on a positive change in the sovereign's propensity to support Credem. While not impossible, in Fitch's view this is highly unlikely. SUBORDINATED DEBT AND OTHER HYBRID SECURITIES The ratings of subordinated debt are sensitive to a change in the bank's VR. The rating is also sensitive to a change in notching if Fitch revises its assessment of loss severity or incremental non-performance risk. The rating actions are as follows: Credito Emiliano Long-Term IDR: affirmed at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F2' Support Rating: affirmed at '5' Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'No Floor' Derivative Counterparty Rating: assigned at 'BBB(dcr)' Senior unsecured EMTN programme: affirmed at 'BBB' Subordinated notes XS1199020295, XS1506498200: affirmed at 'BBB-' Contacts: Primary Analyst Claudia Nelson Senior Director +44 20 3530 1191 Fitch Ratings Ltd 30 North Colonnade London E14 5GN Secondary Analyst Manuela Banfi Associate Director +39 02 87 90 87 202 Committee Chairperson Christian Scarafia Senior Director +44 20 3530 1012 Media Relations: Stefano Bravi, Milan, Tel: +39 02 879 087 281, Email: [email protected]; Peter Fitzpatrick, London, Tel: +44 20 3530 1103, Email: [email protected]. Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com Applicable Criteria Global Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 25 Nov 2016) here Additional Disclosures Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form here Solicitation Status here#solicitation Endorsement Policy here ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: here. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. DIRECTORS AND SHAREHOLDERS RELEVANT INTERESTS ARE AVAILABLE here. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Copyright © 2017 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch’s factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch’s ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed. The information in this report is provided “as is” without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. 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Fitch receives fees from issuers, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, and underwriters for rating securities. Such fees generally vary from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent) per issue. In certain cases, Fitch will rate all or a number of issues issued by a particular issuer, or insured or guaranteed by a particular insurer or guarantor, for a single annual fee. Such fees are expected to vary from US$10,000 to US$1,500,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent). The assignment, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 of the United Kingdom, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers. For Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan and South Korea only: Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services license (AFS license no. 337123) which authorizes it to provide credit ratings to wholesale clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001

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